三个情报台,一套核查标准Three desks, one verification standard

每本登记册单独记账:条条有来源、有证据等级、有最后核查日期,全部公开。文字、图表与数据登记册采用 CC BY 4.0,引用注明出处即可。Every register keeps its own ledger: each entry carries a source, an evidence grade and a last-checked date, all public. Text, charts and registers are CC BY 4.0; cite the source and reuse freely.

情报台The desks一号 架构 · 二号 就业 · 三号 医疗Desk 1 Architecture · Desk 2 Jobs · Desk 3 Medical
共同标准One standard同一套证据等级与核查方法One evidence scale, one checking method
授权LicenceCC BY 4.0 · 引用注明出处CC BY 4.0 · Cite the source
剪纸 · 地球与电路

证据等级Evidence grade

一手已核Primary-verified

多源已核Multi-source verified

媒体转述Media-reported

待核Pending

总数据总览Overview三台汇总All Three Desks壹一号台Desk 1企业 AI 架构Enterprise AI Architecture贰二号台Desk 2AI 就业与职业AI Jobs & Careers叁三号台Desk 3医疗 AIMedical AI

数据总览Data Overview

三个情报台,一张图看懂。这里是各登记册之上的视觉总览:数字全部取自各册本身,与登记册对不上时,以登记册为准。Three desks, one picture. This page is the visual overview above the registers: every number comes from the registers themselves, and where this page and a register disagree, the register wins.

一号台数据 · 截至Desk 1 data · as of 2026-11-01 二号台数据 · 截至Desk 2 data · as of 2026-10-24 三号台数据 · 截至Desk 3 data · as of 2026-10-21
一号台Desk 156 条判例 + 1 卷特别卷cases + 1 special file 一号台Desk 116 条治理措施governance measures 二号台Desk 219 条记录records 三号台Desk 320 台器械devices 三号台Desk 316 行付费对照reimbursement rows 一号台Desk 16 条监管动作regulatory actions

一号台 · 企业 AI 架构情报Desk 1 · Enterprise AI Architecture

判例按主失效层归档,治理措施按「关」登记。另有准入册 3 条、模型变更 34 条、架构图谱 13 个、人物册 114 位,明细在各册。Cases are filed by primary failure layer, and governance measures by gate. Also on this desk: an access register of 3 entries, 34 model changes, 13 reference architectures and 114 people in the leaders register. Details live in each register.

判例落在哪一层Which layer the cases land in

模型层Model1 条1编排层Orchestration5 条5工具层Tool5 条5记忆层Memory1 条1知识层Knowledge9 条9门禁层Access Control22 条22盯梢层Observability2 条2

门禁层占近半:多数事故不是模型不行,是没有一道关拦住。另有 1 条为受控实验,未计入分层。The Access Control layer holds nearly half: most incidents are not a model failing, they are the absence of a gate that would have stopped it. A further 1 entry is a controlled experiment and is not counted in the layers.

治理措施落在哪一关Which gate the governance measures land in

1 网关1 Gateway4 条42 门禁2 Access Control3 条33 编排3 Orchestration0 条04 知识4 Knowledge0 条05 记忆5 Memory0 条06 工具6 Tool0 条07 模型7 Model0 条08 盯梢8 Observability4 条49 平台9 Platform1 条110 统一与自主10 Unity and Autonomy4 条4

十关里五关已有措施入册;编排、知识、记忆、工具、模型五关尚无企业公开措施被登记,不等于市场上没有,是公开口径暂缺。Five of the ten gates have measures on record. Orchestration, Knowledge, Memory, Tool and Model have no publicly disclosed enterprise measure registered yet. That does not mean none exists in the market; it means none is on the public record yet.

判例披露月份(2026 年)Case disclosure months (2026)

11月Jan02月Feb13月Mar14月Apr15月May16月Jun47月Jul38月Aug139月Sep1510月Oct

按判例的公开披露月份统计。判例库 2026-10 上线并回溯收录,此前年份另有 6 条(2023 至 2025 年),未画入本图。Counted by each case's public disclosure month. The case register launched in October 2026 and collected earlier material retrospectively; a further 6 cases from earlier years (2023 to 2025) are not drawn here.

二号台 · AI 就业与职业情报Desk 2 · AI Jobs and Careers

脊柱是三句:暴露 ≠ 替代、使用 ≠ 流失、宣布 ≠ 落地。下图量的是任务暴露,不是失业预测。The spine is three lines: exposure is not replacement, use is not loss, and an announcement is not an outcome. The chart below measures task exposure, not unemployment forecasts.

职业观测暴露度(册内前列)Observed occupational exposure (top of the register)

计算机程序员Computer programmers75 %客服代表Customer service representatives70 %数据录入员Data entry clerks67 %病历专员Medical records specialists67 %市场研究分析师与营销专员Market research analysts and marketing specialists65 %批发制造销售代表Wholesale and manufacturing sales reps63 %金融与投资分析师Financial and investment analysts57 %软件 QA 分析师Software QA analysts52 %信息安全分析师Information security analysts49 %计算机用户支持专员Computer user support specialists47 %

共登记 11 行,其中可比职业 10 个,暴露度 ≥50% 的 8 个;OCC-011 为零暴露职业示例行,不计入比较。The register holds 11 rows, of which 10 are comparable occupations; 8 sit at 50% exposure or above. OCC-011 is an illustrative zero-exposure row and is not counted in the comparison.

就业研究册 · 6 篇Employment research register · 6 studies

每篇附方法与限度,混引纠正见《三个数字,三回事》。Each study is filed with its method and its limits. For the misquotation corrections, see Three Numbers, Three Different Things.

招聘信号时间线 · 3 例Hiring signals timeline · 3 cases

信号以「个案观察」呈现:宣布 ≠ 落地,单家公司不外推全经济。Signals are presented as case observations: an announcement is not an outcome, and one company is never extrapolated to the whole economy.

三号台 · 医疗 AI 情报Desk 3 · Medical AI

脊柱:获批 ≠ 上线 ≠ 付费 ≠ 有效。先看拿到什么许可,再看有没有付费路径。The spine: cleared or approved is not deployed, deployed is not paid, and paid is not effective. First look at what permission a device actually holds, then at whether a payment path exists.

FDA 对照构成 · 20 台FDA crosswalk composition · 20 devices

510(k) 14De Novo 5PMA 1

510(k) 是「清除(cleared)」,不是「批准(approved)」;PMA 才是批准。本批覆盖 8 个临床领域,放射科 12 台占六成。A 510(k) is a clearance, not an approval; only a PMA is an approval. This batch covers 8 clinical areas, and radiology accounts for 12 devices, six in ten.

付费对照 · 16 行 / 6 台器械Reimbursement crosswalk · 16 rows / 6 devices

未查明 8Not yet established 8仅住院场景 7Inpatient only 7逐案裁量 1Case-by-case 1

按付费覆盖状态分:仅住院场景 7 行、未查明 8 行、逐案裁量 1 行。「未查明」本身就是结论的一部分:获批了,也可能没人付钱。Split by payment coverage status: inpatient settings only 7 rows, not yet established 8 rows, case-by-case discretion 1 row. Not yet established is itself part of the finding: a device can be cleared and still have nobody paying for it.

最近活动Recent activity

2026-10-31 · 一号台Desk 1 新NEW 五关评审 EVA-001《Manus 过五关》研究页上线Five-Gate Review EVA-001, The Gauntlet: Manus, research page published
2026-10-31 · 一号台Desk 1 新NEW 企业 AI 架构评估示范报告(方法示范)上线Demonstration enterprise AI architecture assessment report (method demonstration) published
2026-10-30 · 一号台Desk 1 新NEW 判例库回溯第一批八条入库(INC-046 至 INC-053)The case library backfill batch 1 entered: INC-046 to INC-053
2026-10-29 · 一号台Desk 1 新NEW 判例库新增 INC-045 恶意 AGENTS.md 劫持编程 Agent(知识层,一手已核,发现方自述)The case library adds INC-045, a malicious AGENTS.md hijacking a coding agent (Knowledge layer, primary-source verified, discoverer’s account)
2026-10-28 · 一号台Desk 1 新NEW 架构图谱新增 ARC-013 Gemini Agent 治理栈(门禁与盯梢,一手已核)The architecture atlas adds ARC-013, the Gemini Agent governance stack (access control and observability, primary-source verified)
2026-10-28 · 一号台Desk 1 新NEW 判例库新增 INC-042 至 044(含中文判例 Kimi 额度误扣),更正 INC-041,补记 INC-003;外部 Agent 准入册新增 AGT-003 嘉信理财Case library adds INC-042 to 044 (including the Kimi quota case), corrects INC-041 and updates INC-003; the External Agent Access Register adds AGT-003 (Charles Schwab)
2026-10-25 · 一号台Desk 1 新NEW 判例库补齐至 42 条;监管动作册公开Case library completed at 42 cases; Regulatory Actions Register published
2026-10-24 · 二号台Desk 2 新NEW 招聘信号册新增美国运通个案;《三个数字》纠正篇发布Hiring Signals adds an American Express case; the Three Numbers correction published
2026-10-21 · 三号台Desk 3 新NEW 器械付费研究论文稿完成Device reimbursement study manuscript completed

数据来源:一号台判例与各册导出、二号台三册登记表、三号台器械与付费对照表;各源最后核查日见页首。本页为总览层,引用数字请回各册核对原文。本页数值由构建脚本自源数据生成,逐项对账表随包附上。Sources: the Desk 1 case and register exports, the Desk 2 register tables, and the Desk 3 device and reimbursement crosswalks. Each source was last checked on the date shown at the top of this page. This page is an overview layer: to cite a number, check it against the original register. Every figure here is generated from the source data by the build script, and an item-by-item reconciliation table ships with the package.